Yıl 2018, Cilt 8, Sayı 2, Sayfalar 455 - 469 2018-12-30

Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem

Mehmet Hilmi Demir [1]

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In the standard theory of probability, developed by Kolmogorov, the concept of conditional probability is defined with what is known as the ratio formula: the probability of A given B is the ratio between the probability of A and B and the probability of B, i.e. P(A|B)= (P(AB))/(P(B)). Clearly, this ratio is not defined when the probability of the condition, P(B), is 0. According to Popper, this problem, which is known as the zero-denominator problem, shows a serious conceptual shortcoming of the standard Kolmogorovian theory of probability. In order to overcome this shortcoming, Popper developed an alternative axiomatic theory of probability where conditional probability is taken as primitive. It should be noted that this axiomatic probability theory is different than and independent from Popper’s philosophy of probability which is based on the propensity approach. Popper claims that his axiomatic theory is a better fit for the use of probability in the philosophy of science and statistics. Based on this claim, it is often stated that Popper’s theory is conceptually superior to Kolmogorov’s theory. The ultimate aim of this paper is to evaluate this claim by analyzing Popper’s axiomatic theory within the context of the zero-denominator problem. 

Conditional probability, Popper, Kolmogorov, Hájek, Zero denominator problem
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Yazar: Mehmet Hilmi Demir
Kurum: Middle East Technical University
Ülke: Turkey


Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { beytulhikme510495, journal = {Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy}, issn = {}, eissn = {1303-8303}, address = {Mustafa ÇEVİK}, year = {2018}, volume = {8}, pages = {455 - 469}, doi = {}, title = {Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem}, key = {cite}, author = {Demir, Mehmet Hilmi} }
APA Demir, M . (2018). Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem. Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy, 8 (2), 455-469. Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/beytulhikme/issue/42387/510495
MLA Demir, M . "Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem". Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy 8 (2018): 455-469 <http://dergipark.gov.tr/beytulhikme/issue/42387/510495>
Chicago Demir, M . "Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem". Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy 8 (2018): 455-469
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem AU - Mehmet Hilmi Demir Y1 - 2018 PY - 2018 N1 - DO - T2 - Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 455 EP - 469 VL - 8 IS - 2 SN - -1303-8303 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2019 ER -
EndNote %0 Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem %A Mehmet Hilmi Demir %T Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem %D 2018 %J Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy %P -1303-8303 %V 8 %N 2 %R %U
ISNAD Demir, Mehmet Hilmi . "Popper's Axiomatic Probability System and the Value-Assignment Problem". Beytulhikme An International Journal of Philosophy 8 / 2 (Aralık 2018): 455-469.