Yıl 2018, Cilt 3, Sayı 2, Sayfalar 164 - 184 2018-10-29

Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023

Cüneyt Mengü [1]

18 22

In 2023 Turkey will celebrate the 100th anniversary of the foundation of the Republic. For this reason since 2005 various institutions & organizations have issued different estimates on the Turkey’s 2023 tourism targets. For some estimates, the researches were based upon unspecified method and for the others, it has been observed that an arithmetic average percentage was used. According to the forecasting model with econometric analysis, single variadic regression  (point & interval estimations) made by us in 2006, through the years, the realized and the estimated global international tourists travelling from abroad till 2023 in the world and the estimation of tourist arrivals to our country from abroad were formed in a single projection. As it is understood from the results of our research, between the years 2006-2015 the number of international tourists arrived in Turkey were almost the same as the projected figures, even at the level of usual expectations. However, in 2016, as a result of unfavorable events that occurred in Turkey, of which 30% decline was experienced comparing with the previous year and this also affected the result of our projection study negatively. Within the scope of this study, with regard to Turkey's 2023 target, besides the normal course of the predicted econometric forecasts analysis made by us for the years, along with derived "force majeure" actual and estimated figures comparison, pessimistic, usual and optimistic expectations were obtained. On the subject literature search was made, secondary data sources were utilized and suggestions for the realization of the objectives were examined in the conclusion & reccomendation section.

Turkey's 2023 tourism target, Tourism forecasts, Econometric analysis, Point & interval estimations
  • Chris Cooper, J. Fletcher ve diğerleri, Tourism Principles and Practice, Fourth Edition, Prentice Hall Financial Times, İngiltere, 2008.
  • Cüneyt Mengü, Ortadoğu Turizm Pazarının Türkiye Açısından Analizi, Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi, İstanbul Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, 2008, s. 61.
  • DPT (2006), Dokuzuncu Beş Yıllık Kalkınma Planı (2007 – 2013) – Turizm Ön İhtisas Kurulu Raporu, Ankara.
  • DPT (2006), Dokuzuncu Beş Yıllık Kalkınma Planı (2007 – 2013), Ankara.
  • DPT (2013), Onuncu Beş Yıllık Kalkınma Planı (2014-2018), Ankara.
  • DPT (Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı) Dokuzuncu Kalkınma Planı Turizm Özel İhtisas Komisyonu Raporu, http://plan9.dpt.gov.tr/oik49_turizm/49turizm.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 09.06.2012.
  • Page & Connell, Tourism A Modern Synthesis, South Western, Third Edition, UK, p. 620.
  • Stephen J. Page ve J. Connell, Tourism A Modern Synthesis, Third Edition, South Western Cengage Learning EMEA, İngiltere, 2009.
  • T.C. Başbakanlık DPT Dokuzuncu Kalkınma Planı 2007-2013, Turizm Özel İhtisas Komisyonu Raporu, Ankara, 2007, s.92.
  • T.C. Kültür ve Turizm Bakanlığı, Türkiye Turizm Stratejisi 2023, Kültür ve Turizm Bakanlığı, Ankara, 2007, http://www.sp.gov.tr/documents/Turizm_Strateji_2023.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 01.06.2012.
  • Türkiye Turizm Stratejisi – 2023, http://www.sp.gov.tr/documents/Turizm_Strateji_2023.pdf
  • TÜRSAB (Türkiye Seyahat Acenteleri Birliği), http://www.tursab.org.tr/tr/tursabdan-haberler/2023-turkiye-turizm-stratejileri-sunumu_1913.html, Erişim Tarihi: 09.06.2012.
  • TYD (Türkiye Turizm Yatırımcıları Derneği), http://www.ttyd.org.tr/arama-sonuclari.aspx?q=2023, Erişim Tarihi: 09.06.2012.
  • TYD Turizm 2023 Hedefi, http://www.ttyd.org.tr/2023-e-dogru-turk turizminde-yatirim-hamlesi.html.
  • UNWTO Tourism 2020 Vision, http://www.unwto.org/facts/eng/vision.htm, Erişim Tarihi: 01.06.2012.
  • UNWTO, World Tourism Performance 2011 and Outlook 2012, http://dtxtq4w60xqpw.cloudfront.net/sites/all/files/pdf/unwto_pisa_2011_2.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 01.06.2012
Birincil Dil en
Konular Sosyal
Dergi Bölümü Makaleler
Yazarlar

Yazar: Cüneyt Mengü
Ülke: Turkey


Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { ejees477682, journal = {European Journal of Educational \& Social Sciences}, issn = {}, eissn = {2564-6621}, address = {Ali Korkut}, year = {2018}, volume = {3}, pages = {164 - 184}, doi = {}, title = {Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023}, key = {cite}, author = {Mengü, Cüneyt} }
APA Mengü, C . (2018). Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023. European Journal of Educational & Social Sciences, 3 (2), 164-184. Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/ejees/issue/40157/477682
MLA Mengü, C . "Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023". European Journal of Educational & Social Sciences 3 (2018): 164-184 <http://dergipark.gov.tr/ejees/issue/40157/477682>
Chicago Mengü, C . "Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023". European Journal of Educational & Social Sciences 3 (2018): 164-184
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023 AU - Cüneyt Mengü Y1 - 2018 PY - 2018 N1 - DO - T2 - European Journal of Educational & Social Sciences JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 164 EP - 184 VL - 3 IS - 2 SN - -2564-6621 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2018 ER -
EndNote %0 European Journal of Educational & Social Sciences Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023 %A Cüneyt Mengü %T Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023 %D 2018 %J European Journal of Educational & Social Sciences %P -2564-6621 %V 3 %N 2 %R %U
ISNAD Mengü, Cüneyt . "Approaches on The Future of Turkey Tourism in 2023". European Journal of Educational & Social Sciences 3 / 2 (Ekim 2018): 164-184.