Yıl 2017, Cilt 01, Sayı 2, Sayfalar 46 - 53 2017-12-29

A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting

Zeynep Bektaş [1] , Tarık Küçükdeniz [2] , Tuncay Özcan [3]

94 73

Wind energy is one of the most promising resources of energy for the future. Wind is generally regarded as the most renewable and green energy type. The reason for this perception is mainly because of wind’s inexhaustible, sustainable and abundant characteristics. Recent years has witnessed a significant increase in wind energy investments. Wind speed forecasting is considered as the most important area of research with regard to better investment and planning decisions. In this study; support vector regression and multi-variable grey model with parameter optimization are applied to the wind speed forecasting problem. The main objective of this study is to reveal the possible usage and compare the performances of support vector regression against grey theory based forecasting. The performances of the selected algorithms are benchmarked on a sample dataset. The data was obtained from Cukurova region of Turkey. Experimental results indicate that multivariable grey model with parameter optimization outperforms support vector regression in terms of forecast accuracy. 

Support vector regression, Grey prediction, Wind speed forecasting
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Birincil Dil en
Konular Matematik ve İstatistik
Yayımlanma Tarihi December
Dergi Bölümü Articles
Yazarlar

Yazar: Zeynep Bektaş
Kurum: İSTANBUL ÜNİVERSİTESİ
Ülke: Turkey


Yazar: Tarık Küçükdeniz
Kurum: İSTANBUL ÜNİVERSİTESİ
Ülke: Turkey


Yazar: Tuncay Özcan
Kurum: İSTANBUL ÜNİVERSİTESİ
Ülke: Turkey


Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { forecasting340707, journal = {Turkish Journal of Forecasting}, issn = {}, eissn = {2618-6594}, address = {Giresun University Forecast Research Laboratory}, year = {2017}, volume = {01}, pages = {46 - 53}, doi = {}, title = {A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting}, key = {cite}, author = {Bektaş, Zeynep and Özcan, Tuncay and Küçükdeniz, Tarık} }
APA Bektaş, Z , Küçükdeniz, T , Özcan, T . (2017). A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting. Turkish Journal of Forecasting, 01 (2), 46-53. Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/forecasting/issue/33413/340707
MLA Bektaş, Z , Küçükdeniz, T , Özcan, T . "A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting". Turkish Journal of Forecasting 01 (2017): 46-53 <http://dergipark.gov.tr/forecasting/issue/33413/340707>
Chicago Bektaş, Z , Küçükdeniz, T , Özcan, T . "A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting". Turkish Journal of Forecasting 01 (2017): 46-53
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting AU - Zeynep Bektaş , Tarık Küçükdeniz , Tuncay Özcan Y1 - 2017 PY - 2017 N1 - DO - T2 - Turkish Journal of Forecasting JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 46 EP - 53 VL - 01 IS - 2 SN - -2618-6594 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2017 ER -
EndNote %0 Turkish Journal of Forecasting A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting %A Zeynep Bektaş , Tarık Küçükdeniz , Tuncay Özcan %T A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting %D 2017 %J Turkish Journal of Forecasting %P -2618-6594 %V 01 %N 2 %R %U
ISNAD Bektaş, Zeynep , Küçükdeniz, Tarık , Özcan, Tuncay . "A Comparison of Support Vector Regression and Multivariable Grey Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting". Turkish Journal of Forecasting 01 / 2 (Aralık 2017): 46-53.