Yıl 2018, Cilt 5, Sayı 2, Sayfalar 197 - 217 2018-08-01
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## On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution

#### Salih Çelebioğlu [1]

##### 59 91

In this study, it is tried to give a system of Markov chains approach to the trend of annual mean temperatures in Turkey. For this reason, a data of annual mean temperatures between the years 1965 - 2012 of 58 meteorological stations of Turkey are used. Each scenario is given as a solution to a quadratic programming problem for which is spanned by the transition matrices of twelve groups. The steady-state distribution method given here facilitates the multiple station Markov chain applications. In the meantime, the linear regression approaches in which the averages of station groups are considered as independent variables are as well introduced. It is also given comments on some scenarios while an extreme scenario as a solution to a few problems is pointed out to which is feared in respect of climatic change.

Annual mean temperatures, climatic change, Markov chain, Aggregation by steady-state distribution, Linear regression
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Birincil Dil en Mühendislik Research Articles Orcid: 0000-0002-9440-8642Yazar: Salih Çelebioğlu (Sorumlu Yazar)Kurum: GAZİ ÜNİVERSİTESİÜlke: Turkey
 Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { ijegeo426733, journal = {International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics}, issn = {}, eissn = {2148-9173}, address = {Cem GAZİOĞLU}, year = {2018}, volume = {5}, pages = {197 - 217}, doi = {10.30897/ijegeo.426733}, title = {On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution}, key = {cite}, author = {Çelebioğlu, Salih} } APA Çelebioğlu, S . (2018). On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 5 (2), 197-217. DOI: 10.30897/ijegeo.426733 MLA Çelebioğlu, S . "On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution". International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics 5 (2018): 197-217 Chicago Çelebioğlu, S . "On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution". International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics 5 (2018): 197-217 RIS TY - JOUR T1 - On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution AU - Salih Çelebioğlu Y1 - 2018 PY - 2018 N1 - doi: 10.30897/ijegeo.426733 DO - 10.30897/ijegeo.426733 T2 - International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 197 EP - 217 VL - 5 IS - 2 SN - -2148-9173 M3 - doi: 10.30897/ijegeo.426733 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.30897/ijegeo.426733 Y2 - 2018 ER - EndNote %0 International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution %A Salih Çelebioğlu %T On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution %D 2018 %J International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics %P -2148-9173 %V 5 %N 2 %R doi: 10.30897/ijegeo.426733 %U 10.30897/ijegeo.426733 ISNAD Çelebioğlu, Salih . "On Some Climatic Scenarios For Turkey From The Perspective of Changes in the Annual Mean Temperatures via Aggregation by Steady-State Distribution". International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics 5 / 2 (Ağustos 2018): 197-217. http://dx.doi.org/10.30897/ijegeo.426733