Yıl 2018, Cilt 26, Sayı 37, Sayfalar 117 - 126 2018-07-31

Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi
Analyzing Internal Migration to Antalya and Muğla through Gravity Modelling

Ali Tarık AKARCA [1] , Aysıt TANSEL [2]

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Türkiye’nin güneybatısında yer alan Antalya ve Muğla illeri son zamanlarda iç göç için birer mıknatıs haline geldiler. Daha önce yaptığımız bir araştırmada, bu illere göçü doğuran dinamiklerin, pek çok bakımdan, iç göçü geleneksel mekânlara çeken dinamiklerden farklı olduğuna dikkat çekmiştik. Bu çalışmada ise başka önemli yönlerden, Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan göçün geleneksel merkezlere olan göç ile ne kadar benzer olduğunu göstererek önceki bulgularımızı tamamlıyoruz. Bunu, EKK ve Robust regresyon metodları kullanarak, bahsi geçen her iki il için ayrı birer çekim (gravity) modeli saptayarak gerçekleştiriyoruz. Bulgularımıza göre, Antalya ve Muğlaya olan göç, çıkış noktasına olan uzaklık arttıkça olumsuz, çıkıs noktası ile varış noktası işsizlik oranları arasındaki fark, çıkiş noktasından alınmış geçmiş göç, çıkış ve varış noktalarının nüfusları ve çıkış noktasında meydana gelen afetlerin büyüklüğü arttıkça olumlu etkilenmektedir.
Antalya and Muğla provinces located in southwestern Turkey recently emerged as new magnets for internal migration. In an earlier study, we had pointed out that the dynamics underlying migration to these two provinces differs in many respects from that fueling the population movements to traditional magnets. In this paper, we complement our previous findings by showing how in some other key respects, migration to Antalya and Muğla is similar to migration to traditional destinations. We accomplish this by estimating separate gravity models for the two provinces in question, using both OLS and robust regression methods. We find that migration to Antalya and Muğla is affected by distance from the origin adversely, and by unemployment differential between the origin and destination, past migration from the origin, population sizes at the origin and destination, and natural disasters at the origin, favorably.
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Yazarlar

Orcid: 0000-0003-1411-1695
Yazar: Ali Tarık AKARCA

Orcid: 0000-0001-9556-2396
Yazar: Aysıt TANSEL

Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { sosyoekonomi446012, journal = {Sosyoekonomi}, issn = {1305-5577}, address = {Sosyoekonomi Derneği}, year = {2018}, volume = {26}, pages = {117 - 126}, doi = {10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06}, title = {Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi}, key = {cite}, author = {TANSEL, Aysıt and AKARCA, Ali Tarık} }
APA AKARCA, A , TANSEL, A . (2018). Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi. Sosyoekonomi, 26 (37), 117-126. DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06
MLA AKARCA, A , TANSEL, A . "Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi". Sosyoekonomi 26 (2018): 117-126 <http://dergipark.gov.tr/sosyoekonomi/issue/38370/446012>
Chicago AKARCA, A , TANSEL, A . "Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi". Sosyoekonomi 26 (2018): 117-126
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi AU - Ali Tarık AKARCA , Aysıt TANSEL Y1 - 2018 PY - 2018 N1 - doi: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06 DO - 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06 T2 - Sosyoekonomi JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 117 EP - 126 VL - 26 IS - 37 SN - 1305-5577- M3 - doi: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06 Y2 - 2018 ER -
EndNote %0 Sosyoekonomi Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi %A Ali Tarık AKARCA , Aysıt TANSEL %T Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi %D 2018 %J Sosyoekonomi %P 1305-5577- %V 26 %N 37 %R doi: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06 %U 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06
ISNAD AKARCA, Ali Tarık , TANSEL, Aysıt . "Antalya ve Muğla’ya olan İç Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi". Sosyoekonomi 26 / 37 (Temmuz 2018): 117-126. http://dx.doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.03.06