WORLD IN 2023: ESTIMATION BY POPULATION, CAPITAL MARKETS AND ECONOMIC SIZE

Muhammet KAYA [1] , İbrahim BOZKURT [2] , Rıfat KARAKUŞ [3] , Sezer ÖKSÜZ [4]

179 331

This study focuses on two aims. First aim of the study is to determine the relationship between change in population, poor population and capital markets development with change in GDP. The second aim is to forecast the position of countries in 2023 by using determined relations. To determine the relationships, data of 135 countries between 1980 and 2010 were analyzed. Analysis results revealed that population changes and capital market development have a statistically significant effect on GDP. In addition, there is a statistically significant relationship between population growth and poverty. In addition, it is stated that development of E7 countries will become higher than the development of G7 countries
This study focuses on two aims. First aim of the study is to determine the relationship between change in population, poor population and capital markets development with change in GDP. The second aim is to forecast the position of countries in 2023 by using determined relations. To determine the relationships, data of 135 countries between 1980 and 2010 were analyzed. Analysis results revealed that population changes and capital market development have a statistically significant effect on GDP. In addition, there is a statistically significant relationship between population growth and poverty. In addition, it is stated that development of E7 countries will become higher than the development of G7 countries.

Keywords: GDP, Poverty, Population, Capital Markets.

JEL Classification: I32, D53, E01, P50

 

2023’DE DÜNYA: NÜFUS, SERMAYE PİYASALARI ve EKONOMİK BÜYÜKLÜK İLE TAHMİN EDİLMESİ

Bu çalışma iki amaca odaklanmaktadır.Çalışmanın ilk amacı; nüfusta, yoksul nüfusta ve sermaye piyasalarının gelişiminde meydana gelen değişim ile GSYİH’de meydana gelen değişim arasındaki ilişkiyi belirlemektir. Çalışmanın ikinci amacı ise belirlenen ilişkileri kullanarak ülkelerin 2023 yılındaki durumunu tahmin etmektir. İlgili değişkenler arasındaki ilişkileri belirlemek için 135 ülkenin 1980 ile 2010 yılları arasındaki verileri analiz edilmiştir. Analiz sonuçları, nüfustaki değişim ile sermaye piyasasındaki gelişimin GSYİH üzerinde istatistiki olarak anlamlı bir etkiye sahip olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Ayrıca, nüfustaki artış ile yoksulluk arasında da istatistiki olarak anlamlı bir ilişki bulunmuştur. Bunun yanında; E7 ülkelerinde beklenen gelişimin, G7 ülkelerindeki beklenen gelişimden daha fazla olduğu ortaya konulmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler: GSYİH, Yoksulluk, Nüfus, Sermaye Piyasaları.

JEL Sınıflandırması: I32, D53, E01, P50

 

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Yazar: Muhammet KAYA

Yazar: İbrahim BOZKURT

Yazar: Rıfat KARAKUŞ

Yazar: Sezer ÖKSÜZ

Bibtex
APA KAYA, M , BOZKURT, İ , KARAKUŞ, R , ÖKSÜZ, S . (). . , (15), . Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/ulikidince/issue/21627/232299
MLA KAYA, M , BOZKURT, İ , KARAKUŞ, R , ÖKSÜZ, S . "". (): <http://dergipark.gov.tr/ulikidince/issue/21627/232299>
Chicago KAYA, M , BOZKURT, İ , KARAKUŞ, R , ÖKSÜZ, S . "". ():
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - AU - Muhammet KAYA , İbrahim BOZKURT , Rıfat KARAKUŞ , Sezer ÖKSÜZ Y1 - 2015 PY - 2015 N1 - DO - T2 - Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 0 EP - VL - IS - 15 SN - 1307-9832-1307-9859 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2019 ER -
EndNote %0 Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi %A Muhammet KAYA , İbrahim BOZKURT , Rıfat KARAKUŞ , Sezer ÖKSÜZ %T %D 2015 %J Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi %P 1307-9832-1307-9859 %V %N 15 %R %U
ISNAD KAYA, Muhammet , BOZKURT, İbrahim , KARAKUŞ, Rıfat , ÖKSÜZ, Sezer . "WORLD IN 2023: ESTIMATION BY POPULATION, CAPITAL MARKETS AND ECONOMIC SIZE". Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi / 15 (Haziran 2015): 0-.